Pronostic : SC Paderborn 07 – SC Freiburg (5 sept. 2026)

The SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg prediction is here for this Bundesliga match on Sep 05, 2026 at 13:30. SC Freiburg arrives as the favorite with a 46% chance to win, but SC Paderborn 07 playing at the Home Deluxe Arena makes this an interesting contest.

Team form

SC Paderborn 07 goes into this fixture with a solid homeLastResults: D, W, D, W, W. In their last five matches they drew 0-0 at Mainz 05, won 4-2 at Phonix Lubeck in the DFB Pokal, drew 2-2 at Werder Bremen in a friendly, won 2-0 at VfL Osnabruck, and beat Fagiano Okayama 3-1 at home. That shows only one defeat in the sequence and a good scoring touch.

SC Freiburg has been in excellent form, posting an awayLastResults of W, W, W, W, W. They hammered Werder Bremen 4-1 at home in the Bundesliga, beat Motherwell 4-1 in UEFA Conference League qualification, crushed Fortuna Dusseldorf 5-1 in the DFB Pokal, won 3-1 at Motherwell, and defeated Crystal Palace 2-0 in a friendly. Their attack is firing on all cylinders.

Head-to-head record

These sides met only once in the recent record, a DFB Pokal clash in November 2023. On that day SC Paderborn 07 won 3-1 away at SC Freiburg. The head-to-head data reads: homeWins 1, draws 0, awayWins 0 - the lone match went to the team that is now the home side. Still, with just one past meeting the sample is tiny.

League table positions

In the overall standings after one matchday, SC Freiburg sits 2nd with 3 points, scoring 4 goals and conceding 1. SC Paderborn 07 is 11th with 1 point from a 0-0 draw. The away table shows SC Paderborn 07 2nd with that same draw on the road, while SC Freiburg has yet to play away. The gap in quality looks clear at this early stage.

Win probability: SC Paderborn 07 or SC Freiburg?

Based on the odds, form, home advantage, and table positions, the win probability for this match is: SC Freiburg 46%, draw 28%, SC Paderborn 07 26%. The bookmakers see SC Freiburg as the likely winner, but the chances are evenly split enough to call this a close game. SC Paderborn's home edge and that lone head-to-head win keep their hopes alive.

Odds and match prediction

The pre-match odds from the bookmakers show the 1X2 market. Across six sets of odds, the home win (SC Paderborn 07) fluctuates from 3.00 to 3.65, the draw goes from 2.35 to 3.60, and the away win (SC Freiburg) ranges from 2.30 to 2.62. The shortest price appears often on the SC Freiburg victory. All things considered - form, table, and the odds - the SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg betting tips lean toward an away win, but a draw cannot be ruled out.