Pronostic : WIT Georgia – Lokomotivi Tbilisi (9 sept. 2026)

The WIT Georgia vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi prediction for September 9, 2026, in the Georgia 3 Liga points to a tight match. WIT Georgia enters as the slight favorite with a 40% win probability, while Lokomotivi Tbilisi has a 35% chance and the draw sits at 25%. Both teams are mid-table and the recent head-to-head record shows how close this fixture usually is.

Team form

WIT Georgia comes into this match with mixed results. Their last five outings read D, W, L, D, D. The most recent was a 2-2 draw away at Iveria Khashuri on September 3. Before that they beat Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 2-1 at home, then lost 3-2 at Kolkheti Khobi. Two home draws followed: 1-1 with Margveti Zestafoni in the league and 1-1 with Samgurali in the Cup. WIT Georgia has scored in four of those five games but kept only one clean sheet.

Lokomotivi Tbilisi's form reads D, D, W, D, W. They drew 3-3 at home with Varketili Tbilisi on September 3 and 1-1 away at Dinamo Tbilisi II before that. A 4-0 home win over Gonio showed their attacking potential. Two more draws - 1-1 at FC Iberia Tiblisi 1999 2 and a 1-0 away win at Guria Lanchkhuti - round out the run. Lokomotivi Tbilisi has lost only once in their last five, showing solid resilience.

Head-to-head record

The head-to-head stats between these two sides are perfectly balanced: one win each and three draws from the last five meetings. The most recent clash was a 2-2 draw on April 16, 2026, when Lokomotivi Tbilisi hosted WIT Georgia. In October 2024, Lokomotivi Tbilisi won 3-1 away. WIT Georgia's lone win in this span came in March 2024, a 1-0 away victory. The other two matches - a Cup tie in August 2022 and a friendly in February 2018 - both ended 1-1. Goals are almost guaranteed: four of the five matches saw both teams score.

League table positions

WIT Georgia sits 8th in the 3 Liga overall standings with 32 points from 20 matches (9 wins, 5 draws, 6 losses). They have scored 33 goals and conceded 21. At home, WIT Georgia is stronger - 6th with 20 points from 10 games, scoring 16 and conceding 10. Lokomotivi Tbilisi is 10th overall with 25 points (6 wins, 7 draws, 7 losses), 24 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they rank 8th with 15 points from 10 matches, 16 goals for and 16 against. The three-point gap and home advantage tilt the WIT Georgia vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi prediction slightly toward the hosts.

Win probability: WIT Georgia or Lokomotivi Tbilisi?

Based on the odds, form, head-to-head record, and league positions, we calculate the win probability as follows: WIT Georgia 40%, draw 25%, Lokomotivi Tbilisi 35%. The bookmakers' odds imply a tight contest. The first bookmaker prices WIT Georgia at 3.40, the draw at 2.15, and Lokomotivi Tbilisi at 2.50. The second bookmaker has WIT Georgia at 2.63, the draw at 3.50, and Lokomotivi Tbilisi at 2.20. After removing the margin and normalizing, the market leans slightly toward the away side, but WIT Georgia's stronger home form and higher league position balance the scales. The head-to-head history with three draws in five meetings supports a significant draw probability. WIT Georgia has a 40% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Lokomotivi Tbilisi has a 35% chance.

Odds and match prediction

The odds for this match show two different views. One bookmaker has the draw as the most likely outcome at 2.15, with WIT Georgia at 3.40 and Lokomotivi Tbilisi at 2.50. Another sees Lokomotivi Tbilisi as the favorite at 2.20, with WIT Georgia at 2.63 and the draw at 3.50. Our WIT Georgia vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi prediction leans toward a home win or a draw, based on WIT Georgia's solid home record and the frequent draws in this fixture. Betting tips: the draw at 2.15 with the first bookmaker offers value given the head-to-head history. Both teams to score is also worth considering - four of the last five head-to-head matches saw goals at both ends, and both sides have been scoring regularly in recent form.