Pronostic : Novaci – Ohrid Lihnidos (9 sept. 2026)

The Novaci vs Ohrid Lihnidos prediction for the North Macedonia Cup match on Sep 09, 2026 at 14:00 points to an away win. Based on the latest odds, head-to-head record, and recent form, Ohrid Lihnidos is the clear favorite with a 68% win probability. Novaci has a 16% chance, while the draw sits at 16%.

Team form

Novaci come into this cup tie with a mixed run of results. Their last five matches read L, W, L, W, L. A 1-0 home loss to FK Belasica Strumica on Aug 22 was followed by a 2-1 away win at Golemo Konjari back in April. They also lost 3-0 at Ohrid Lihnidos on Apr 04, beat FK Prespa Resen 2-0 at home on Mar 28, and fell 2-1 at Teteks on Mar 14. That is two wins and three losses in five, with just four goals scored in those games.

Ohrid Lihnidos are in much stronger shape. Their last five results show W, W, W, L, D. A 3-0 away win at Teteks on Sep 05 and a 5-1 home thrashing of FK Kozuf Gevgelija on Aug 30 highlight their firepower. They also smashed FK Sloga Vinica 1934 7-1 at home on May 23, lost 1-0 at Sileks Kratovo in the cup on May 06, and drew 1-1 at home with the same opponent on Apr 22. That is 16 goals scored in five matches, a huge contrast to Novaci's output.

Head-to-head record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Ohrid Lihnidos. In two previous meetings, Ohrid Lihnidos have won both, with Novaci yet to register a win or a draw. The most recent clash was on Apr 04, 2026, when Ohrid Lihnidos won 3-0 at home in the North Macedonia 2nd League. The first meeting was on Oct 11, 2025, where Ohrid Lihnidos won 1-0 away at Novaci. Across those two games, the aggregate score is 4-0 to Ohrid Lihnidos, and Novaci have failed to score a single goal.

League table positions

Both teams compete in the North Macedonia 2nd League, but this is a cup match. No current league table data is available in the provided stats. However, the form guide and head-to-head results suggest Ohrid Lihnidos are operating at a higher level right now, with a much better goal-scoring record and consistent wins.

Win probability: Novaci or Ohrid Lihnidos?

We calculated the win probabilities using the available pre-match odds as the base and adjusted for form and head-to-head stats. Ohrid Lihnidos has a 68% chance of winning this match. The draw probability is 16%, and Novaci's win probability is 16%. The odds imply an even stronger away favorite, but we have slightly tempered that given the cup context. Ohrid Lihnidos's attacking form - 16 goals in five games - and a perfect head-to-head record with no goals conceded against Novaci make them the most likely winner.

Odds and match prediction

The bookmakers' pre-match odds for the 1X2 market show Ohrid Lihnidos as the favorite. The best available away win odds are around 1.35 to 1.91, while the home win for Novaci is priced as high as 8.69. The draw odds range from 2.30 to 5.00. These prices reflect the gulf between the two sides. Our Novaci vs Ohrid Lihnidos prediction is an away win. The stats, the head-to-head record, and the odds all point in the same direction. A bet on Ohrid Lihnidos to win is the most logical choice, while the under 2.5 goals market might also be worth a look given Novaci's struggles in front of goal against this opponent.