Pronostic : Kep – Kampot (9 sept. 2026)

The Kep vs Kampot prediction for the Cambodia Cup match on September 9, 2026, at 08:30 UTC points to an away win. Kampot enters the game as the favorite with a 48% win probability, while Kep has a 35% chance and the draw sits at 17%. This Kep vs Kampot prediction is based on the latest odds, head-to-head record, and recent team form.

Team form

Kep's recent form is poor. They have two draws and three losses in their last five matches. The draws came against Koh Kong (3-3) and Preah Sihanouk (3-3), but they lost to Kampot (0-2), Kampot again (3-7), and Preah Sihanouk (0-8). Kep has conceded 21 goals in these five games, which is a big concern for anyone looking at Kep vs Kampot betting tips.

Kampot's form is also mixed, with two losses, one win, one loss, and one draw in their last five. They lost to Preah Sihanouk (2-3) and Koh Kong (0-1), beat Kep (2-0), lost to Phnom Penh Galaxy (1-3), and drew with Phnom Penh Galaxy (2-2). The win against Kep in the most recent head-to-head gives them a psychological edge.

Head-to-head record

The head-to-head record between Kep and Kampot shows 11 previous meetings. Kampot leads with 6 wins, Kep has 4 wins, and there has been 1 draw. The last five matches tell the story: Kampot won 2-0 in July 2026, Kampot won 7-3 in September 2025, Kampot won 3-2 in August 2025, a 3-3 draw in August 2023, and Kampot won 2-0 in June 2023. Kampot has won four of the last five, which heavily influences the Kep vs Kampot prediction today.

League table positions

Both teams compete in the Cambodia Cup. The JSON data does not include current league table positions, so we cannot compare points or gaps. The head-to-head and form data are the main drivers for this match prediction.

Win probability: Kep or Kampot?

Based on the odds, form, and head-to-head stats, the win probability for this match is: Kep 35%, draw 17%, Kampot 48%. The odds imply a bookmaker margin that we normalized to get these true chances. Kampot's superior head-to-head record (6 wins vs 4) and their 2-0 win in the most recent meeting push their chances higher. Kep's poor defensive form - 21 goals conceded in five games - makes an away win the most likely outcome. The draw probability is low because only one of the last five head-to-head matches ended level.

Odds and match prediction

The pre-match odds for this fixture are: Kep home win at 2.45, draw at 5.25, and Kampot away win at 1.95. The bookmakers see Kampot as the favorite, which matches our Kep vs Kampot prediction. The odds of 1.95 for an away win suggest a value bet if you agree with our 48% probability assessment. The draw at 5.25 is a long shot, and Kep at 2.45 reflects their home advantage but weak recent results. Our final match prediction is an away win for Kampot, but with Kep's ability to score at home, both teams to score could also be an interesting betting tip.