Pronostic : Genoa – Como 1907 (4 sept. 2026)

The Genoa vs Como 1907 prediction for the Serie A match on Sep 04, 2026, at Stadio Luigi Ferraris points to Como 1907 as the favorite. According to the latest odds and recent form, Como 1907 has roughly a 45% win probability. Genoa sits at about 35%, while the draw is around 20%. Our betting tips break down the head-to-head record and league standings so you can decide who will win.

Team form

Genoa come into this match with a poor run in Serie A: they lost to Lazio (0-1) and Napoli (0-2) in their last two league games. A cup win over Ascoli (4-1) was a bright spot, but heavy friendly defeats against Deportivo La Coruna (0-1) and Bournemouth (1-10) show defensive issues. Their last five in all competitions read L, L, W, L, L.

Como 1907 look sharper. They beat Napoli away (2-1) in Serie A and drew at Udinese (1-1). Friendlies brought two losses to Liverpool (both 0-2) and a draw with Arsenal FC (1-1), but their competitive record stands at W, D, L, L, D. The Serie A away win over Napoli shows they can deliver on the road.

Head-to-head record

These teams have met six times in recent history with Como 1907 winning twice, Genoa yet to win, and four draws. The most recent match, in April 2026 in Serie A, ended Genoa 0-2 Como 1907. The previous Serie A fixture in September 2025 was a 1-1 draw in Como. Overall, the head-to-head record clearly favors Como 1907: 2 away wins, 0 home wins for Genoa, and 4 draws. That statistic is key for any Genoa vs Como 1907 prediction.

League table positions

Two rounds into the Serie A season, Como 1907 sit 8th with 4 points (1W, 1D, 0L, goals for 3, against 2). Genoa have not picked up a point yet and are outside the top 12 shown in the standings data. The away table highlights Como 1907 as the top-ranked traveling side so far (1st place with 4 points from two away fixtures). Genoa do not feature in the home standings top 8, which underlines their slow start.

Win probability: Genoa or Como 1907?

The win probability calculation blends the bookmakers' odds, team form, head-to-head record and the table. Taking the average pre-match 1X2 odds (home 4.92, draw 2.26, away 2.18) and stripping out the margin gives a baseline. Adjustment for Genoa's poor form, Como's strong away start and the 0-2-4 head-to-head numbers shifts the raw odds probabilities. The final probabilities are: Genoa win 35%, draw 20%, Como 1907 win 45%. Como 1907 are the more likely winner, but the draw remains a solid possibility.

Odds and match prediction

The pre-match 1X2 odds from the odds feed show the away team as the clear favorite. The best prices available are around home 5.55, draw 3.44 and away 1.86. Some bookmakers tightened the draw as low as 1.95. These numbers confirm that bookmakers see Genoa vs Como 1907 as a match where Como 1907 holds the edge. Our final match prediction: an away win is the most probable outcome, though a low-scoring draw fits the head-to-head pattern. Betting tips: the away win odds around 1.86 offer value, and under 2.5 goals is worth a look given the recent defensive results.