Pronostic : Barcelona Guayaquil – Delfin SC (13 sept. 2026)

The Barcelona Guayaquil vs Delfin SC prediction for September 13, 2026 points to a home win in Ecuador's Serie A. Based on the odds, recent form, and head-to-head record, Barcelona Guayaquil enters as the clear favorite with a 59% win probability, while Delfin SC sits at 18% and the draw at 23%.

Team form

Barcelona Guayaquil's last five matches show a mixed run: D, W, L, W, D. They drew 1-1 away at SD Aucas Quito on Sep 07, beat Independiente Del Valle 2-1 at home on Sep 03, lost 2-0 at Manta FC on Aug 30, thrashed Orense SC 3-0 at home on Aug 23, and drew 0-0 at Mushuc Runa on Aug 16. At home they have been strong, winning two of their last three and scoring seven goals across those three home games.

Delfin SC's recent form reads L, W, L, L, W. They lost 1-0 at home to Universidad Catolica del Ecuador on Sep 06, beat Tecnico Universitario 1-0 at home on Sep 01, lost 1-0 at Mushuc Runa on Aug 28, lost 1-0 at home to SD Aucas Quito on Aug 23, and won 1-0 at Juventud Italiana in the Cup on Aug 20. Delfin SC has struggled for goals, scoring just three times in their last five outings.

Head-to-head record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Barcelona Guayaquil with 18 wins to Delfin SC's 11, plus 8 draws. The last five meetings underline that dominance: Barcelona Guayaquil won 2-1 away on May 24, 2026, 1-0 away on Jul 20, 2025, 2-0 at home on Mar 29, 2025, and 4-0 at home on Oct 27, 2024. The only recent blemish was a 1-1 draw at Delfin SC on Aug 12, 2023. Barcelona Guayaquil has won four of the last five head-to-head clashes and kept three clean sheets in those wins.

League table positions

Barcelona Guayaquil sits 6th in the overall Serie A standings with 43 points from 29 matches (11 wins, 10 draws, 8 losses). Their home form is excellent - 3rd best in the league with 30 points from 14 home games (9 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses) and a goal difference of +12 (21 scored, 9 conceded). Delfin SC does not appear in the top 12 of the overall, home, or away standings provided, suggesting a lower-table position and weaker campaign.

Win probability: Barcelona Guayaquil or Delfin SC?

The win probability calculation uses the pre-match odds as a base and adjusts for form and standings. The bookmakers' prices (best available: home 2.05, draw 2.10, away 5.00) imply probabilities around 47% for a home win, 46% for the draw, and 19% for an away win after removing the margin. Factoring in Barcelona Guayaquil's dominant home record (3rd best in the league), Delfin SC's poor recent away showings, and a 4-1-0 head-to-head run in the last five, we shift the numbers toward the favorite. The final assessment: Barcelona Guayaquil has a 59% chance of winning, the draw is at 23%, and Delfin SC has an 18% chance.

Odds and match prediction

The pre-match odds for this fixture show Barcelona Guayaquil as the favorite. The best home win price is 2.05, the draw is available at 2.10, and an away win for Delfin SC pays as high as 5.30. These betting tips reflect the gap between the sides. Based on the stats, the Barcelona Guayaquil vs Delfin SC prediction is a home victory. The combination of strong home form, a dominant head-to-head record, and Delfin SC's scoring struggles makes the home side the most likely winner. A low-scoring match is probable, given Delfin SC's recent attacking output and Barcelona Guayaquil's solid home defense.