Pronostic : AD San Carlos – Sporting San Jose (7 sept. 2026)

AD San Carlos vs Sporting San Jose prediction for the Primera Division match on Sep 07, 2026 at 01:00. Based on recent form, head-to-head record and league table positions, Sporting San Jose is the favorite with a 45% win probability. AD San Carlos has a 30% chance, and the draw is at 25%.

Team form

AD San Carlos comes into this match with a shaky run of results: L, W, W, L, L in their last five games. Their most recent outing was a 1-2 home loss against Marineros de Puntarenas on Aug 30. Before that, they managed a 1-0 away win at LD Alajuelense and a 1-0 home win over Herediano. Two defeats against Inter San Carlos (0-2) and Deportivo Saprissa (1-2) show they struggle against top-half sides.

Sporting San Jose is in much better shape with a form line of W, W, W, L, D. They beat Inter San Carlos 2-0 at home on Aug 29, crushed Herediano 3-0 away, and saw off CD Escorpiones Belen 2-0. The only recent slip was a 1-2 loss at CS Cartagines. Their attack looks sharp, and they have kept three clean sheets in those five matches.

Head-to-head record

The head-to-head record between these two teams heavily favors Sporting San Jose. In 21 meetings, Sporting San Jose has 10 wins, AD San Carlos has 4, and 7 matches ended in draws. The last five encounters tell the same story: Sporting San Jose won 1-0 in Mar 2026, AD San Carlos won 3-0 in Jan 2026, Sporting San Jose won 3-0 in Sep 2025, a 1-1 draw in Aug 2025, and another 1-0 win for Sporting San Jose in May 2025. Sporting San Jose has won three of the last five, and AD San Carlos has only one win in that period.

League table positions

In the Primera Division overall standings, Sporting San Jose sits 4th with 11 points from 6 matches (3 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss). AD San Carlos is 8th with 6 points from 6 matches (2 wins, 0 draws, 4 losses). The gap is already 5 points. At home, AD San Carlos is 8th with 3 points from 3 games, while Sporting San Jose is 4th in the away table with 4 points from 3 away matches. The numbers clearly point to an away-side advantage.

Win probability: AD San Carlos or Sporting San Jose?

We calculate the win probability based on team form, head-to-head stats, and league positions. Sporting San Jose has a 45% chance to win this match. AD San Carlos has a 30% chance, and the draw is at 25%. The away team's stronger recent results, dominant head-to-head record, and higher league position give them the edge. AD San Carlos will have home support, but their poor form and low scoring output (4 goals in 6 league games) make an upset unlikely.

Odds and match prediction

Bookmakers' pre-match odds for this fixture show a tight market. The best available prices are around 2.95 for a home win, 2.05 for the draw, and 2.65 for an away win. The draw is priced as the most likely single outcome by the bookies, but the away win odds are not far behind. Our AD San Carlos vs Sporting San Jose prediction is that Sporting San Jose will be too strong. Based on the stats, an away win looks the best betting tip, but the draw is a real possibility given the odds and the history of 7 stalemates in 21 head-to-head meetings.